Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.888705 7.586080 8.341721 9.224367 10.230886 11.347373 12.685714
2025-12-28 6.361360 7.378556 8.557937 10.038923 11.866607 14.071666 16.969296
2026-01-04 5.802752 6.964821 8.374477 10.234731 12.662150 15.775497 20.160346
2026-01-11 5.212410 6.415985 7.925935 9.995012 12.814084 16.609327 22.265014
2026-01-18 4.929764 6.211214 7.870065 10.225729 13.571730 18.296338 25.749264
2026-01-25 4.554323 5.843784 7.554736 10.054606 13.727428 19.121846 28.050534
2026-02-01 4.250862 5.543693 7.297479 9.926955 13.911922 19.983876 30.504686
2026-02-08 3.978943 5.263801 7.041227 9.768414 14.019216 20.718642 32.834915
2026-02-15 3.727696 4.993881 6.776067 9.567529 14.030252 21.284276 34.937493
2026-02-22 3.545646 4.809505 6.619286 9.513178 14.260038 22.224345 37.851850
2026-03-01 3.310747 4.533716 6.308159 9.191166 14.015727 22.315053 39.151908
2026-03-08 3.064622 4.228190 5.934110 8.741167 13.514524 21.893223 39.361502
2026-03-15 2.897295 4.036802 5.730515 8.564750 13.488629 22.370137 41.590889
2026-03-22 2.955216 4.187869 6.064097 9.297536 15.132112 26.184787 51.804215
2026-03-29 2.883913 4.134759 6.070244 9.475167 15.786529 28.172151 58.375421
2026-04-05 2.736098 3.953774 5.858997 9.258004 15.675887 28.583890 61.213204
2026-04-12 2.684703 3.922182 5.888709 9.467005 16.403064 30.854927 69.361569
2026-04-19 2.567400 3.778705 5.724072 9.312002 16.393928 31.518697 73.358064
2026-04-26 2.465631 3.655537 5.586603 9.196328 16.451849 32.339607 78.017187
2026-05-03 2.365760 3.530891 5.439870 9.052605 16.437153 32.989350 82.349511
2026-05-10 2.265709 3.401637 5.278663 8.870402 16.324042 33.389715 86.028219
2026-05-17 2.194090 3.316691 5.190033 8.821088 16.491074 34.498340 92.336825
2026-05-24 2.087229 3.168298 4.983190 8.528755 16.100399 34.156055 93.648017